Rivera’s Cutter

Building a super-sub

July 1, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Ramiro Pena has been optioned down to Triple-A to make room for Eric Hinske.  Pena doesn’t project to ever be a great hitter necessarily, but he’s still young enough that regular ABs in the minors should help him.  Interestingly, the Yankees plan on playing him in CF, despite his great fielding ability at SS, 3B, and 2B.

This kind of move would seem to be geared next season.  If Pena can continue to develop as a hitter, even nominally, and play every critical defensive position extremely well, he’ll be a very valuable player coming off the bench, especially when you also figure in that he’s a good base runner.  The Yankees in recent seasons have been desperate to construct rosters that are more flexible and this kind of move can help accomplish that.

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Hinske a solid pickup for the Yanks

June 30, 2009 · Leave a Comment

With Xavier Nady done for the year, the Yanks made a good move today, grabbing Eric Hinske from the Pirates.  Hinske is a high OBP guy with power who can play corner outfield and infield spots, though not particularly well.  I have to wonder if Shelley Duncan couldn’t have given the Yankees something similar, but either way, Hinske fits the bill.  With the Yanks finally returning from playing in NL parks, it will be great to have a quality power bat on the bench and will certainly give Girardi a good deal of flexibility late in games.

The move is low-cost, as the Yanks gave up no real valuable prospects, but certainly has the potential for a decent return.

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Mo back to form

June 30, 2009 · Leave a Comment

It was obviously nice to see Mo notch his 500th save, but perhaps most importantly for the 2009 Yankees, it would appear that he has, as is usually the case, regained his consistency and control.  April and May are generally the worst months for Rivera and in his last few outings he is really building some momentum.  Once again, it would appear that those who predicted his demise will have to continue to wait.

I could write thousands of words on how great a player I think Rivera is; it’s no accident I named this site after him.  One of the great things about being a Yankee fan is being able to cheer for Rivera.  Not only is he a one of a kind, dominant player, but his demeanor on the mound is the definition of class.  From his slow jog in to “Enter Sandman,” to his classy handshake with the catcher after he finishes the job, he’s exactly what you’d want a closer to be.  He doesn’t try to intimidate; he doesn’t need any of that.  He’s above it.

It’s been many years since I’ve been to Cooperstown, but if I do return for a visit, it will be 5 years after Mo retires, to see him celebrated there.

Saves may be a meaningless stat, but 500 show the consistency that Rivera has had at an inconsistent position.  So congratulations to him.  He deserves all the praise he receives.

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The center field platoon working nicely

June 27, 2009 · Leave a Comment

There have been times when I’ve doubted that either Melky Cabrera or Brett Gardner are actually major league caliber players, but both have shown flashes of potential this season and have formed a pretty effective platoon.  Gardner is now hitting over .300 with an OBP over .370 and if he can keep those numbers around there, he absolutely has to keep playing.  In general I think speed can be a little overrated, but Gardner really is a weapon if he gets on base.  In retrospect, the Yankees made the right call by not trading for Mike Cameron before the season, as allowing these two cost-controlled young players develop has given the Yankees two more assets.  Young players have become the most valuable commodity in baseball, but the Yankees win-now mantra has made developing them difficult.  Right now though, with Gardner, Melky, Joba, Hughes, etc all getting important playing time, the Yankees have a good deal of talent that they are not paying market value for.

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As A-Rod goes…

June 24, 2009 · Leave a Comment

It’s always fun to blame A-Rod when the Yankees struggle, but the lethargic offense really needs him right now.  For a team with as much talent position to position as the Yankees have, for them to be struggling to score runs againt these NL teams is just awful.  Wang’s last night wasn’t a complete disaster and he almost certainly would have gone deeper into the game if it were in an AL park.  The bottom line though, is the Yankees should be winning games when they hold their opponent to 3 runs or less.

The team is certainly in a funk right now, but they are somehow still the wild card leader in what has been a very mediocre AL so far.  They can’t possibly continue to be this bad offensively.  Wang might not be great right now, but he’s no longer  a train wreck.  If they keep running him out there, he should continue to improve.

But I can’t help but think that these interleague games will end up coming back to haunt the Yanks later in the year.  The offense needs to get it going and if I’m Girardi I think I make a change here just to make a change – tinker with the lineup, whatever.  Hopefully, A-Rod can be the one to snap out of his funk and lead them.  Otherwise, I feel like I’ll be writing the same post, over and over again.

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Pitching rounding into shape

June 21, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Last night’s loss to the Marlins featured missed opportunities and sloppy defense.  It was a frustrating loss, but AJ Burnett had a good outing, which makes two in a row.  We also saw continued good pitching from Phil Coke and Phil Hughes out of the much-maligned bullpen.  Sure, the offense once again struggled to find the big hit, but it’s worth noting that Josh Johnson had absolutely overpowering stuff.  So while it’s easy to be frustrated with the offense, at least they weren’t up there struggling against some no-name.

It’s easy to forget, with all of the Yankees big name sluggers, that the 2009 Yankees were built to be a pitching team.  Obviously, it hasn’t quite worked out that way, but there is certainly hope.  Take a look at the Yankee pitchers; how many of them do you think will have a better second half of the season than first half?  You could actually reasonably say all of them.  Sabathia has pitched well, but he hasn’t quite put it together yet and been overpowering.  Burnett, Pettitte, and Joba have all dealt with wildness and inconsistency.  Wang couldn’t possibly be worse.  Hughes had a couple bad starts that hurt his numbers.  In the bullpen, Mo had a few bad outings stemming from a lack of control, which happens to him sometimes early on in the year.  Coke was pretty medicore but has been very strong as of late.  Bruney was hurt.  Robertson just didn’t get much of a chance.

Am I being optimistic?  Of course – what’s new.  But with Nady due back soon, the offense should have depth and if the pitchers can start reaching their potential, the Yankees should have another winning streak in them.

Also a silver lining: despite being only 4-6 in their past 10 games and looking relatively mediocre, the Yankees still have the 2nd best record in the American League.  I have been watching Tampa Bay’s games very closely, because I honestly believe that if the Rays don’t make a run, the Red Sox and Yankees will both cruise to playoff spots.  However, if you look at Tampa’s run differential, you have to think they’ll be close at some point.

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Instant replay should be expanded

June 18, 2009 · Leave a Comment

I understand why many people are hesitant to give instant replay a prominent role in baseball.  Baseball is a slow game and that aspect makes it unappealing to many fans who prefer more up-tempo sports like basketball and football (though to be honest, I think football is a pretty slow game too, but that’s not the point).

But if you look at how both football and basketball have used instant replay, the blueprint for success is there.  Those games have not been slowed down because of this technology and are certainly improved by it.

Earlier in the season, I said there was a need for a better system of determining balls and strikes – one that would help eliminate human error – but I don’t think instant replay is the answer to that, because if you still have an umpire reviewing the call, it’s still a judgment call.

Things like out or safe, whether the ball was caught, etc, though are pretty clear right or wrong issues.  So why can’t baseball use replay to revisit these plays?

Of course, I am inspired to write this because the Yankees were on the losing end of a terrible call at first last night.  A-Rod threw out Christian Guzman easily and yet the play was called safe.  If there was instant replay, one quick look would overturn that call.  That play ended up being critically important, as Nick Johnson tripled on the next at-bat, scoring Guzman from first.  At the time, I immediately said “you know this will end up being a one-run game.”  And, unfortunately, I was right.

There were, by my calculations, three pretty bad calls last night.  The Guzman call was the most egregious, though there were also two pretty bad ball-strike calls.  One was on Mark Teixeira, who watched what should have been strike 3 go over the plate, the same pitch that struck Nick Swisher out looking, only it was called a ball.  What did Tex do with his newfound life at the plate?  Grounded out on the very next pitch.  So yeah, bad call, but no harm done.  Melky Cabrera on the other hand, took a 3-2 pitch that almost hit him in the leg, yet it was somehow called strike 3.  A bigger deal obviously, because Melky should have walked in a game where the Yanks were desperate for baserunners.

Yeah, the Yankees ended up with their chances anyways, but it is disappointing to have to sit and wonder what would have been had Guzman been called out at first.  Why not give each team one challenge a game, similar to football, so they can use replay to challenge what could be a game-changing call?  Would that really slow the game down so much?  Not if done right.

As for the game itself, it seemed like the Yankees were destined to rally and I really have to wonder: why does Girardi not have A-Rod running there?  As soon as Cano came to the plate, I noted how smart it was that the Nats went back to double-play depth since Cano hits into more DPs than any other Yankee.  Surely, Girardi must know this as well.  A couple pitches in, it became obvious that Cano was going to keep making contact.  Why not at least try to hit and run?  I know A-Rod is not currently the runner he once was, but you still think he’d have to be going in that spot.  My biggest complaint about Girardi tends to be his knack for overmanaging, so it’s surprising for him to just sit back and do nothing in that spot.

All-in-all, a disappointing game, but it’s not quite the apocolypse some say a loss to Washington is.  The Nats had their best pitcher going and he pitched a gem.  The Yanks had their worst pitcher starting.  They almost won it anyways, but unfortunately the game just produced a loss and a bunch of “what–ifs.”

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Veras likely to be traded

June 16, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Jose Veras was DFA’s today, as Bruney was activated from the DL.  Surprising?  Perhaps a little.  The choice was really between Tomko and Veras.  Tomko has been a little more reliable but Veras has better stuff and is 10 years younger.  Veras clearly has the most upside.

Due to that, I have a feeling the Yankees have already found a taker for Veras and will trade him in the coming days.  There was no chance they’d get anything for Tomko, so in that sense, DFAing Veras is logical, assuming the Yankees felt Veras would not be able to turn it around this season.

I think Veras 100% can help a handful of teams out there.  He has a 95mph fastball and a good breaking ball.  His problems were largely mental – he couldn’t help but walk the first guy he faced.  Get him out of NY and I bet he turns into a productive piece for someone.  Let’s not forget that LaTroy Hawkins has been lights out for Houston ever since leaving the Yanks.

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Yanks help to put the Santana storyline to rest

June 15, 2009 · Leave a Comment

For the record, I like Johan Santana.  I used to cheer for him when he was with the Twins, assuming he wasn’t facing the Yankees.  Despite that, however, I find myself rooting against him now more than perhaps any other Mets player and the only real reason for that is I don’t want to hear anymore about how the Yankees should have traded for him.  I like having Phil Hughes and Melky Cabrera (and Ian Kennedy for that matter).  I like CC Sabathia (who the Yanks would not have signed if they traded for Johan).

The bottom line always was, you don’t trade away talent for a player to then simply sign him to a market value, free-agent contract.  That doesn’t make economic sense.

So did the Mets make a good move?  Kinda.  They didn’t give up all that much talent and they probably felt that if Santana did hit the open market, they wouldn’t get him.  But I actually don’t think that would have been the case.

Let’s pretend for a minute that Johan was not traded and was a free agent last year along with CC, AJ, Lowe and everyone else.  We know the Yanks would be after CC.  Who would trump the Mets’ $140 million offer to Johan?  The Angels maybe?  I really think the Mets would have signed him anyways.  But the Mets didn’t give up all that much young talent, so it’s probably not a big deal either way.

But if the Yanks had given up Hughes, Melky, etc?  And then didn’t have CC (who, ironically, could have ended up with the Mets)?  The 2009 Yankees would, unequivically, be a weaker team.

The other reason why I didn’t want the Yankees to trade for Santana was on display yesterday.  I don’t know that he has the stuff anymore to routinely dominate the AL East.  He still has that crazy changeup and that should ensure he is a productive pitcher in the NL for a number of years (another reason why the trade was more low-risk for the Mets).  But without that mid-90s fastball, will he be able to dominate deep and patient lineups?  If yesterday’s game tells us anything, the answer is not consistently.

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The dangers of incentive clauses

June 14, 2009 · 1 Comment

The following is complete speculation on my part.  But I don’t think Andy Pettitte is right.  And by that I don’t mean he just isn’t pitching well.  I don’t believe he’s healthy.  I don’t think it’s serious; I just think he needs to miss a start or two and get his back right.

So, with the Yankees currently trying to fit 6 starters into 5 spots, wouldn’t it make sense to throw Pettitte on the DL for a quick stint, have him miss 1 or 2 starts and get himself completely healthy?

Well of course it would, but remember Pettitte’s contract pays him based on how many innings and games he pitches.  So, of course he’s going to say he can keep pitching.  Wouldn’t he be foolish not to?

This is the danger of incentive clauses like this.  And again, I am 100% speculating all of this.  But part of me wonders if Pettitte had simply signed a straight up 1 year $10 million deal, would he still be getting the ball?  I know Pettitte is a competitor and wants to go out and help the team, but pitching hurt in this case isn’t helping the team.

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