Nate Silver and his PECOTA projections have had quite a year. Predicted a big year from the Rays. Then got into politics and projected Obama from the primaries to the white house.
Well, Yankee fans should be hoping his hot streak is over. Courtesy of the Replacement Level Yankees Weblog, PECOTA has the Yankee lineup approximately 50 runs below other comparable methods.
In particular, PECOTA doesn’t like Jeter, Posada, Cano, and A-Rod (relatively).
Though then again, PECOTA did predict the Yankees would lead baseball with 101 wins last season. So there is hope.